Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lammikko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Lammikko 44.4% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Tavares
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Lammikko
Last 5: Tavares 5-0 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Lammikko
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Lammikko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
43.3% (275)
+9.7%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
60.0% (5)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
38.5% (52)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Tavares shoots left. Lammikko is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lammikko
Home
57.5% (762)
44.4% (160)
Away
51.4% (766)
41.3% (172)
By Period
Tavares
Lammikko
P1
54.5%
38.9%
P2
53.2%
45.3%
P3
55.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |