Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lammikko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Lammikko 47.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Tavares
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tavares
Lammikko
Last 9: Tavares 6-3 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Lammikko
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
3
Tavares
Lammikko
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Lammikko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
48.6% (1,252)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
59.3% (27)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
37.0% (135)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Lammikko is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lammikko
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.0% (690)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
47.5% (724)
By Period
Tavares
Lammikko
P1
55.0%
48.7%
P2
54.1%
47.6%
P3
54.1%
46.9%
OT
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |