Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lammikko on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lammikko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Lammikko 50.9% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 66.8%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Tavares
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tavares
Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Lammikko
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
3
Tavares
Lammikko
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
52.3% (616)
+8.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
56.3% (16)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
37.1% (62)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Lammikko is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lammikko
Home
63.5% (684)
49.2% (364)
Away
57.6% (658)
53.0% (330)
By Period
Tavares
Lammikko
P1
60.3%
51.1%
P2
60.4%
52.3%
P3
60.1%
49.8%
OT
92.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |