Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Glendening 55.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 81.8%
Neutral zone
Glendening 55.9%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Tavares
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Tavares
Glendening
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
0
Tavares
Glendening
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
6
Tavares
Glendening
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Tavares
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
58.3% (725)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
50.0% (8)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
48.4% (215)
-5.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Tavares
Glendening
Home
57.5% (668)
55.4% (469)
Away
61.1% (684)
56.6% (479)
By Period
Tavares
Glendening
P1
58.0%
53.5%
P2
60.1%
57.0%
P3
61.0%
58.0%
OT
27.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
60.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |