Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Glendening 51.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.8%
Defensive zone
Glendening 71.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Tavares
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Tavares
Glendening
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Glendening
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
3
Tavares
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
53.5% (404)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
100.0% (4)
-43.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
46.8% (141)
+11.1%
On power play, Glendening has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Tavares
Glendening
Home
57.8% (614)
46.9% (241)
Away
57.8% (554)
56.2% (308)
By Period
Tavares
Glendening
P1
58.0%
50.6%
P2
56.9%
51.8%
P3
58.4%
52.9%
OT
57.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |