Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Glendening 51.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 68.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 73.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Tavares
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Tavares
Glendening
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Glendening
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
3
Tavares
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
54.1% (370)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
100.0% (4)
-42.8%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
43.6% (133)
+20.0%
On power play, Glendening has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tavares is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Tavares shoots left. Glendening is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Tavares
Glendening
Home
58.0% (500)
46.5% (213)
Away
59.7% (375)
55.4% (294)
By Period
Tavares
Glendening
P1
59.5%
49.7%
P2
58.5%
51.9%
P3
58.2%
52.2%
OT
60.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Glendening
66.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |