John Tavares vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Celebrini 48.9% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Tavares
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
48.2% (924)
+9.8%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
52.8% (108)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
56.0% (25)
+1.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Tavares
Celebrini
Home
57.8% (614)
47.8% (523)
Away
57.8% (554)
49.8% (534)
By Period
Tavares
Celebrini
P1
58.0%
47.8%
P2
56.9%
47.4%
P3
58.4%
51.1%
OT
57.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | OT | 01:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |