John Tavares vs Macklin Celebrini

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tavares 54.4% vs Celebrini 48.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Tavares 87.4%
Defensive zone Tavares 69.6%
Neutral zone Tavares 86.2%
Result John Tavares favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Tavares Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares Celebrini
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Celebrini

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares Celebrini
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares Celebrini
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tavares
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
47.7% (1,825)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
53.8% (247)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
55.6% (36)
-5.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).
Home / Away
Tavares
Celebrini
Home
56.1% (10,503)
47.7% (1,076)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.4% (1,032)
By Period
Tavares
Celebrini
P1
55.0%
47.2%
P2
54.1%
46.9%
P3
54.1%
51.5%
OT
55.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%
54.5%
54.4%
Celebrini
48.0%
46.0%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 11, 2025 OT 01:05 Defensive John Tavares
Mar 27, 2025 OT 01:25 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 27, 2025 3 18:57 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 27, 2025 3 18:50 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 27, 2025 2 09:11 Defensive John Tavares
Mar 3, 2025 3 10:24 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 3, 2025 2 01:24 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 3, 2025 1 14:32 Defensive John Tavares