John Tavares vs Macklin Celebrini

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tavares 54.4% vs Celebrini 48.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Tavares 89.6%
Defensive zone Tavares 69.4%
Neutral zone Tavares 87.3%
Result John Tavares favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Tavares Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares Celebrini
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Celebrini

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares Celebrini
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares Celebrini
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tavares
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
47.7% (1,618)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
54.8% (230)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
59.4% (32)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +8.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,306).
Home / Away
Tavares
Celebrini
Home
56.1% (10,389)
47.5% (965)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
50.1% (915)
By Period
Tavares
Celebrini
P1
55.1%
46.1%
P2
54.1%
48.4%
P3
54.0%
51.6%
OT
56.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%
57.5%
54.4%
Celebrini
44.0%
52.5%
48.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 11, 2025 OT 01:05 Defensive John Tavares
Mar 27, 2025 OT 01:25 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 27, 2025 3 18:57 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 27, 2025 3 18:50 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 27, 2025 2 09:11 Defensive John Tavares
Mar 3, 2025 3 10:24 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 3, 2025 2 01:24 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 3, 2025 1 14:32 Defensive John Tavares