John Tavares vs Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 83.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 85.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Tavares
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Celebrini
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Celebrini
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
47.2% (901)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
54.7% (139)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
54.5% (11)
+1.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Tavares
Celebrini
Home
59.7% (610)
47.6% (553)
Away
57.0% (698)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Tavares
Celebrini
P1
57.2%
46.6%
P2
58.5%
46.4%
P3
59.4%
51.8%
OT
46.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | OT | 01:25 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |