Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Kasper 45.6% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 86.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 86.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Tavares
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Kasper
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Kasper
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
45.1% (586)
+12.6%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
52.2% (23)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
29.4% (17)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kasper
Home
59.7% (610)
47.9% (280)
Away
57.0% (698)
42.5% (346)
By Period
Tavares
Kasper
P1
57.2%
45.8%
P2
58.5%
50.0%
P3
59.4%
38.4%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |