Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Granlund 47.4% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Tavares
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Tavares
Granlund
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Granlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
3
Tavares
Granlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
47.7% (1,001)
+13.2%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
53.4% (73)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
40.2% (132)
+7.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Tavares
Granlund
Home
63.5% (684)
45.9% (582)
Away
57.6% (658)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Tavares
Granlund
P1
60.3%
48.6%
P2
60.4%
46.7%
P3
60.1%
46.9%
OT
92.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |