John Tavares vs Mitchell Stephens

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

John Tavares holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tavares 59.8% vs Stephens 49.3% (+11.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Tavares 83.7%
Defensive zone Stephens 82.7%
Neutral zone Stephens 59.0%
Result John Tavares favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Tavares Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 5 (9 meetings)
4
5
Tavares Stephens
Last 9: Tavares 4-5 Stephens

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
3
Tavares Stephens
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Tavares Stephens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares Stephens
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tavares
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
50.8% (199)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
42.6% (54)
+5.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Stephens is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stephens
Home
63.5% (684)
53.3% (122)
Away
57.6% (658)
45.0% (131)
By Period
Tavares
Stephens
P1
60.3%
52.6%
P2
60.4%
48.0%
P3
60.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%
54.5%
60.6%
Stephens
42.0%
52.5%
49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 26, 2022 2 13:58 Offensive Mitchell Stephens
Apr 26, 2022 2 13:54 Offensive Mitchell Stephens
Apr 26, 2022 2 09:56 Defensive John Tavares
Oct 30, 2021 2 18:01 Defensive Mitchell Stephens
Oct 30, 2021 2 16:44 Offensive Mitchell Stephens
Oct 30, 2021 2 13:44 Defensive Mitchell Stephens
Oct 30, 2021 2 09:56 Offensive John Tavares
Oct 30, 2021 1 19:23 Offensive John Tavares
Oct 30, 2021 1 11:42 Neutral John Tavares