John Tavares vs Mitchell Stephens
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Stephens 49.3% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stephens 82.7%
Neutral zone
Stephens 59.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Tavares
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Tavares
Stephens
Last 9: Tavares 4-5 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
3
Tavares
Stephens
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Tavares
Stephens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Stephens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
50.8% (199)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
42.6% (54)
+5.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Stephens is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stephens
Home
63.5% (684)
53.3% (122)
Away
57.6% (658)
45.0% (131)
By Period
Tavares
Stephens
P1
60.3%
52.6%
P2
60.4%
48.0%
P3
60.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |