John Tavares vs Mitchell Stephens
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Stephens 52.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.1%
Defensive zone
Stephens 82.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Tavares
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Tavares
Stephens
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Stephens
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
3
Tavares
Stephens
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Stephens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
54.5% (795)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
21.4% (14)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
47.2% (178)
+3.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stephens
Home
56.1% (10,503)
54.1% (471)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
51.3% (517)
By Period
Tavares
Stephens
P1
55.0%
53.6%
P2
54.1%
50.7%
P3
54.1%
54.3%
OT
55.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |