John Tavares vs Mitchell Stephens
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Stephens 52.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Tavares
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Tavares
Stephens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
57.0% (135)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
0.0% (5)
+60.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
50.0% (54)
+6.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stephens
Home
59.7% (610)
53.9% (89)
Away
57.0% (698)
53.3% (105)
By Period
Tavares
Stephens
P1
57.2%
47.4%
P2
58.5%
57.7%
P3
59.4%
57.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |