Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Bonino 48.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Tavares
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tavares
Bonino
Last 5: Tavares 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Tavares
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Tavares
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
49.6% (837)
-0.9%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
50.7% (223)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
41.0% (134)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bonino
Home
50.0% (542)
50.7% (564)
Away
48.2% (587)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Tavares
Bonino
P1
52.2%
44.9%
P2
50.0%
50.1%
P3
45.1%
50.9%
OT
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |