Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Bonino 51.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Tavares
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Bonino
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
52.6% (836)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
51.8% (110)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
47.8% (186)
+6.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Tavares shoots left. Bonino is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bonino
Home
57.5% (762)
50.8% (547)
Away
51.4% (766)
52.6% (585)
By Period
Tavares
Bonino
P1
54.5%
56.2%
P2
53.2%
48.9%
P3
55.5%
50.9%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |