Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Kapanen 47.4% (+15.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.5%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 54.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Tavares
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
44.4% (45)
+13.3%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
36.4% (11)
+24.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kapanen
Home
59.7% (610)
39.4% (33)
Away
57.0% (698)
47.8% (23)
By Period
Tavares
Kapanen
P1
57.2%
42.9%
P2
58.5%
40.0%
P3
59.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%