John Tavares vs Paul Stastny

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 55.1%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 29 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tavares 54.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor Tavares leads 52-40 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone Tavares 61.0%
Defensive zone Stastny 66.2%
Neutral zone Stastny 53.2%
Result Paul Stastny favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Tavares Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
52 - 40 (92 meetings)
52
40
Tavares Stastny
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Stastny

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
18
11
Tavares Stastny
29 total
Defensive Zone
Even
13
13
Tavares Stastny
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
21
16
Tavares Stastny
37 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tavares
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
59.1% (1,994)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
52.9% (1,119)
-2.2%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stastny
Home
56.1% (10,389)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Tavares
Stastny
P1
55.1%
56.3%
P2
54.1%
55.4%
P3
54.0%
53.5%
OT
56.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%
57.5%
54.4%
Stastny
52.0%
55.5%
55.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 31, 2022 2 08:20 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 31, 2022 2 01:40 Defensive Paul Stastny
Mar 31, 2022 1 12:42 Defensive Paul Stastny
Mar 31, 2022 1 10:41 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 31, 2022 1 03:19 Neutral Paul Stastny
Dec 5, 2021 2 17:31 Neutral John Tavares
Dec 5, 2021 1 02:09 Defensive Paul Stastny
May 14, 2021 2 06:37 Defensive John Tavares
May 14, 2021 2 00:00 Neutral John Tavares
May 14, 2021 1 16:12 Defensive John Tavares
May 14, 2021 1 00:00 Neutral Paul Stastny
Apr 22, 2021 1 09:33 Offensive Paul Stastny
Apr 15, 2021 3 05:26 Offensive John Tavares
Apr 15, 2021 3 02:33 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 31, 2021 3 18:04 Offensive Paul Stastny
Mar 11, 2021 3 12:59 Defensive John Tavares
Mar 11, 2021 2 12:28 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 11, 2021 1 11:15 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 9, 2021 1 06:53 Neutral John Tavares
Jan 18, 2021 1 11:44 Offensive John Tavares