Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 57.6%). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Stastny 56.3% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Tavares
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
57.5% (412)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
60.0% (65)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
44.4% (9)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stastny
Home
61.0% (661)
58.3% (276)
Away
55.3% (584)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Tavares
Stastny
P1
58.6%
63.7%
P2
57.8%
57.3%
P3
58.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
63.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%