Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Byfield 44.6% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 68.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Tavares
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Byfield
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
44.5% (853)
+13.2%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
42.9% (21)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
38.2% (68)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Tavares
Byfield
Home
59.7% (610)
43.8% (502)
Away
57.0% (698)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Tavares
Byfield
P1
57.2%
44.2%
P2
58.5%
43.0%
P3
59.4%
45.0%
OT
46.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |