Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Byfield 45.4% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 52.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Tavares
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Byfield
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Tavares
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
46.5% (759)
+11.5%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
50.0% (58)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
35.1% (148)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Tavares
Byfield
Home
57.8% (614)
46.2% (442)
Away
57.8% (554)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Tavares
Byfield
P1
58.0%
44.1%
P2
56.9%
43.5%
P3
58.4%
47.7%
OT
57.7%
39.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |