Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Faksa 52.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.0%
Defensive zone
Faksa 79.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Tavares
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
18
(41 meetings)
23
18
Tavares
Faksa
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
15
3
Tavares
Faksa
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
3
12
Tavares
Faksa
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
3
Tavares
Faksa
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
52.8% (6,681)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
57.7% (291)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
49.3% (1,372)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Tavares
Faksa
Home
56.1% (10,503)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Tavares
Faksa
P1
55.0%
53.0%
P2
54.1%
52.5%
P3
54.1%
52.0%
OT
55.9%
45.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |