Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Faksa 53.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 81.1%
Neutral zone
Faksa 56.0%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Tavares
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Tavares
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
56.4% (401)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
77.8% (9)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
45.5% (110)
-2.6%
On power play, Faksa has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Tavares
Faksa
Home
57.5% (668)
49.0% (249)
Away
61.1% (684)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Tavares
Faksa
P1
58.0%
58.2%
P2
60.1%
53.6%
P3
61.0%
52.4%
OT
27.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |