Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Faksa 54.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 70.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Tavares
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Faksa
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
2
Tavares
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
55.1% (584)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
66.7% (12)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
53.5% (99)
-5.9%
On power play, Faksa has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Tavares
Faksa
Home
63.5% (684)
54.5% (341)
Away
57.6% (658)
55.6% (354)
By Period
Tavares
Faksa
P1
60.3%
60.9%
P2
60.4%
53.9%
P3
60.1%
51.4%
OT
92.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |