John Tavares vs Rourke Chartier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Chartier 50.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Tavares
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Chartier
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Chartier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Tavares
Chartier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Chartier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.8% (329)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
66.7% (6)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
45.6% (79)
+5.0%
On power play, Chartier has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Tavares
Chartier
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.3% (240)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Tavares
Chartier
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
54.1%
48.1%
P3
54.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |