Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Chartier 51.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Tavares
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Chartier
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Chartier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Tavares
Chartier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Chartier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
54.2% (225)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
75.0% (4)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
43.3% (67)
-0.4%
On power play, Chartier has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Chartier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Tavares
Chartier
Home
57.5% (668)
49.5% (202)
Away
61.1% (684)
57.4% (94)
By Period
Tavares
Chartier
P1
58.0%
51.6%
P2
60.1%
49.5%
P3
61.0%
54.6%
Final 5 min
60.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |