Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 57.6%). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Chartier 51.9% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.9%
Defensive zone
Chartier 67.0%
Neutral zone
Chartier 52.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Tavares
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
59.3% (27)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
50.0% (6)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Chartier is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Tavares
Chartier
Home
61.0% (661)
54.5% (11)
Away
55.3% (584)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Tavares
Chartier
P1
58.6%
56.3%
P2
57.8%
55.6%
P3
58.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
63.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%