Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 43 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 54-51 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 61.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Tavares
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
51
(105 meetings)
54
51
Tavares
Johansen
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
28
15
Tavares
Johansen
43 total
Defensive Zone
Even
15
15
Tavares
Johansen
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
11
21
Tavares
Johansen
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
56.2% (2,163)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
50.5% (978)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johansen
Home
56.1% (10,503)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Tavares
Johansen
P1
55.0%
53.2%
P2
54.1%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
52.8%
OT
55.9%
58.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |