Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 59.2%). Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Johansen 58.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 52.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Tavares
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tavares
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Tavares
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
59.8% (625)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
58.2% (196)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
51.9% (27)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johansen
Home
61.0% (661)
60.3% (436)
Away
55.3% (584)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Tavares
Johansen
P1
58.6%
61.3%
P2
57.8%
60.4%
P3
58.4%
56.0%
OT
66.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |