Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Bennett 48.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 75.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 86.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Tavares
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Tavares
Bennett
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
46.4% (780)
+11.6%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
57.3% (150)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
47.8% (46)
+10.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bennett
Home
57.8% (614)
50.3% (519)
Away
57.8% (554)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Tavares
Bennett
P1
58.0%
47.5%
P2
56.9%
46.6%
P3
58.4%
49.8%
OT
57.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |