Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Bennett 46.6% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 81.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 71.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Tavares
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Tavares
Bennett
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
2
Tavares
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
2
Tavares
Bennett
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Tavares
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
46.5% (909)
+11.2%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
43.1% (51)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
38.5% (13)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bennett
Home
59.7% (610)
45.4% (449)
Away
57.0% (698)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Tavares
Bennett
P1
57.2%
49.6%
P2
58.5%
43.7%
P3
59.4%
45.1%
OT
46.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |