Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Bennett 45.9% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 63.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Tavares
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Tavares
Bennett
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
3
Tavares
Bennett
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
44.7% (772)
+14.5%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
56.9% (58)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
42.9% (28)
+0.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bennett
Home
57.5% (668)
48.5% (447)
Away
61.1% (684)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Tavares
Bennett
P1
58.0%
47.1%
P2
60.1%
45.8%
P3
61.0%
42.9%
OT
27.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |