Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Thompson 43.8% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Tavares
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Thompson
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
43.3% (735)
+14.2%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
50.0% (26)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
36.5% (52)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Tavares
Thompson
Home
61.0% (661)
44.5% (407)
Away
55.3% (584)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Tavares
Thompson
P1
58.6%
44.4%
P2
57.8%
44.8%
P3
58.4%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
63.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |