Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Lewis 43.2% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Tavares
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Tavares
Lewis
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
0
Tavares
Lewis
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
2
7
Tavares
Lewis
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
43.2% (2,347)
+10.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
51.9% (108)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
38.6% (365)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Tavares shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lewis
Home
56.1% (10,389)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Tavares
Lewis
P1
55.1%
42.8%
P2
54.1%
43.9%
P3
54.0%
41.9%
OT
56.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |