Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Lewis 45.0% (+18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 57.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Tavares
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Tavares
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
42.5% (127)
+18.4%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
66.7% (6)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
38.8% (49)
+8.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Lewis is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lewis
Home
63.5% (684)
47.4% (95)
Away
57.6% (658)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Tavares
Lewis
P1
60.3%
36.4%
P2
60.4%
45.8%
P3
60.1%
43.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |