Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Lewis 47.7% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Tavares
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
46.0% (189)
+11.7%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
100.0% (2)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
42.9% (7)
+13.5%
On power play, Lewis has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Lewis is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lewis
Home
59.7% (610)
43.3% (90)
Away
57.0% (698)
49.1% (108)
By Period
Tavares
Lewis
P1
57.2%
46.9%
P2
58.5%
46.3%
P3
59.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |