Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drouin wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Eller 49.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 80.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 53.4%
Neutral zone
Drouin 63.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Drouin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Drouin
Eller
Last 7: Drouin 2-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Drouin
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
1
Drouin
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Drouin
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
50.1% (749)
-8.6%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
46.1% (76)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
46.6% (131)
-6.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Drouin is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Drouin shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Drouin
Eller
Home
42.8% (502)
51.4% (465)
Away
42.3% (549)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Drouin
Eller
P1
44.0%
47.9%
P2
39.7%
51.6%
P3
44.4%
47.7%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |