Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Eller 50.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 78.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Drouin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Drouin
Eller
Last 10: Drouin 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
3
2
Drouin
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
4
2
Drouin
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
6
Drouin
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
51.1% (10,296)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
52.8% (621)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
46.7% (1,751)
-7.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Drouin
Eller
Home
44.0% (1,041)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Drouin
Eller
P1
45.9%
51.2%
P2
42.0%
50.1%
P3
45.0%
50.2%
OT
47.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 19, 2018 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |