Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drouin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Eller 53.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 56.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 89.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Drouin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Drouin
Eller
Last 8: Drouin 5-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Drouin
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
53.8% (865)
-8.7%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
57.1% (21)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
52.6% (137)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Drouin shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Drouin
Eller
Home
37.5% (160)
56.4% (486)
Away
49.5% (220)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Drouin
Eller
P1
40.3%
55.1%
P2
43.3%
55.3%
P3
49.6%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |