Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drouin wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Stastny 54.6% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 86.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 86.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Drouin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Drouin
Stastny
Last 6: Drouin 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drouin
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
3
1
Drouin
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
54.8% (1,130)
-13.3%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
59.1% (235)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
49.3% (150)
-9.3%
On even strength, Stastny has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Drouin is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Drouin shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Drouin
Stastny
Home
42.8% (502)
55.5% (803)
Away
42.3% (549)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Drouin
Stastny
P1
44.0%
57.4%
P2
39.7%
52.5%
P3
44.4%
54.3%
OT
37.5%
69.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |