Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Stastny 56.3% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 74.1%
Defensive zone
Drouin 68.2%
Neutral zone
Drouin 69.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Drouin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Drouin
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Drouin
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Drouin
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
57.5% (412)
-12.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
60.0% (65)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
44.4% (9)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Drouin shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Drouin
Stastny
Home
37.5% (160)
58.3% (276)
Away
49.5% (220)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Drouin
Stastny
P1
40.3%
63.7%
P2
43.3%
57.3%
P3
49.6%
50.4%
Final 5 min
37.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |