Jonathan Drouin vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 81.0%
Defensive zone
Drouin 66.6%
Neutral zone
Drouin 81.2%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Drouin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Drouin
Stastny
Last 10: Drouin 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Drouin
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Drouin
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Drouin
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
54.6% (10,616)
-11.1%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
59.1% (1,994)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
52.9% (1,119)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Drouin
Stastny
Home
44.0% (1,041)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Drouin
Stastny
P1
45.9%
56.3%
P2
42.0%
55.4%
P3
45.0%
53.5%
OT
47.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |