Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 74.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.8%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Drouin
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drouin
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Drouin
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
48.9% (352)
-0.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
81.3% (16)
-38.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.2% (45)
-42.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drouin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Drouin shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Drouin
Carrick
Home
45.8% (24)
46.9% (192)
Away
47.6% (42)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Drouin
Carrick
P1
46.2%
48.1%
P2
43.5%
50.0%
P3
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |