Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drouin wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Carrick 52.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 68.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 95.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 85.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Drouin
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Drouin
Carrick
Last 6: Drouin 4-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Drouin
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
52.1% (2,513)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
61.3% (75)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
50.7% (430)
-11.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drouin is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (849).
Drouin shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Drouin
Carrick
Home
44.0% (1,041)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Drouin
Carrick
P1
45.9%
51.8%
P2
42.0%
52.2%
P3
45.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |