Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Meier 47.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 59.8%
Defensive zone
Drouin 61.1%
Neutral zone
Drouin 54.8%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Drouin
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Drouin
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
40.9% (93)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
60.9% (23)
-4.1%
On even strength, Drouin has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Meier is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Drouin
Meier
Home
49.5% (97)
40.4% (57)
Away
49.2% (128)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Drouin
Meier
P1
52.1%
32.6%
P2
51.5%
50.0%
P3
45.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |