Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.6% vs Meier 47.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 65.0%
Defensive zone
Drouin 61.0%
Neutral zone
Drouin 55.5%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Drouin
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Drouin
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (137)
42.9% (84)
+6.0%
Power Play
58.8% (34)
56.3% (16)
+2.5%
On even strength, Drouin has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Drouin is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Drouin shoots left. Meier is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Drouin
Meier
Home
49.4% (87)
40.9% (44)
Away
52.4% (84)
48.3% (58)
By Period
Drouin
Meier
P1
54.0%
33.3%
P2
56.3%
46.7%
P3
44.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
50.9%
Meier
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |