Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Meier 43.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 50.1%
Defensive zone
Drouin 55.5%
Neutral zone
Drouin 50.3%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Drouin
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drouin
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Meier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Meier
0
1
Drouin
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,780)
41.6% (459)
+1.9%
Power Play
48.3% (377)
48.4% (93)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
35.7% (14)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, Drouin has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Drouin is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,351).
Drouin shoots left. Meier is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Drouin
Meier
Home
43.9% (1,031)
43.4% (267)
Away
44.6% (1,149)
41.8% (299)
By Period
Drouin
Meier
P1
45.8%
43.5%
P2
42.1%
43.7%
P3
44.9%
40.4%
OT
48.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
44.3%
Meier
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Timo Meier |