Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Bozak 46.2% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 66.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 74.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 55.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Drouin
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
46.7% (338)
+1.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
50.0% (6)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
32.6% (43)
-32.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Drouin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Drouin shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Drouin
Bozak
Home
45.8% (24)
47.9% (194)
Away
47.6% (42)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Drouin
Bozak
P1
46.2%
40.2%
P2
43.5%
51.4%
P3
52.9%
43.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%