Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Drouin wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 85.2%
Defensive zone
Drouin 76.8%
Neutral zone
Drouin 84.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Drouin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Drouin
Bozak
Last 10: Drouin 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Drouin
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
7
Drouin
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drouin
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
53.7% (9,596)
-10.2%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
55.2% (1,990)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
48.0% (1,094)
-8.9%
On even strength, Bozak has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Drouin is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (849).
Drouin shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Drouin
Bozak
Home
44.0% (1,041)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Drouin
Bozak
P1
45.9%
53.2%
P2
42.0%
52.8%
P3
45.0%
54.5%
OT
47.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |