Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 73.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 76.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Drouin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drouin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Drouin
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
47.2% (654)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
45.0% (20)
+11.8%
On power play, Drouin has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Drouin
Gourde
Home
49.5% (97)
44.1% (322)
Away
49.2% (128)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Drouin
Gourde
P1
52.1%
42.4%
P2
51.5%
49.8%
P3
45.0%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |