Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drouin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 77.2%
Defensive zone
Drouin 56.4%
Neutral zone
Drouin 58.1%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Drouin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Drouin
Gourde
Last 6: Drouin 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Drouin
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Drouin
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
49.1% (847)
-4.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
79.5% (44)
-38.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
39.5% (81)
-39.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Drouin shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Drouin
Gourde
Home
37.5% (160)
50.1% (491)
Away
49.5% (220)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Drouin
Gourde
P1
40.3%
54.7%
P2
43.3%
45.0%
P3
49.6%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |