Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 81.5%
Neutral zone
Drouin 53.4%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Drouin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Drouin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
48.0% (914)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
54.2% (48)
-2.2%
On even strength, Drouin has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Drouin shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Drouin
Gourde
Home
57.9% (57)
50.2% (512)
Away
39.3% (28)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Drouin
Gourde
P1
61.8%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
45.3%
P3
36.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
35.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |